Posted on 05/21/2008 4:01:06 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Outlook
1. Sen. Hillary Clinton's landslide primary victory Tuesday over Sen. Barack Obama in Kentucky is cause for at least a little Republican cheer in a bleak political landscape, despite Obama’s healthy win in Oregon.There is substantial voter rejection of Obama, with half of Kentucky's Democrats (as reflected in exit polls) saying they cannot vote for Obama in November.
2. Obama's quasi-victory speech from Iowa Tuesday night was intended to accelerate the impression he has been trying to make for the last month: that the fight for the nomination is really over, and it is time for Democrats to turn their attention to defeating Sen. John McCain.
3. With Republican prospects getting worse all of the time, how is it that polls show a competitive McCain-vs.-Obama race? It is far more Obama's weakness rather than McCain's strength. There are many sober Democratic strategists who see the anti-Republican tide sweeping in Obama with a landslide.
4. The Obama campaign has already begun to identify McCain as the third coming (that is, the third term) of George W. Bush. When President Bush inserted himself in the campaign-however intentionally or unintentionally-in his Israeli Knesset speech last week, Obama seized on it to buttress his main theme that McCain, improbably, is a Bush clone.
5. The other element in Obama's strategy is to rule out-of-bounds any efforts to pierce the flattering image Obama has painted of himself and the media for the most part has amplified. Obama, by attacking such "swift-boat tactics," hopes to shame the good-government side of McCain into running a vanilla campaign. While he mercilessly pummels McCain as "John McBush," Obama strategists want McCain to stick to the Iraq war, economic decline and health care.
6. McCain, however, is not prepared to disarm himself unilaterally. Tim Griffin, the crack opposition research operative, is about to move into the Republican National Committee to turn his fire against Obama. McCain strategists see their only hope is to focus on the real Barack Obama.
7. While the McCain campaign feels it has secured the party's conservative base, we feel that is not the case. There remains substantial resentment from a wide variety of elements. The McCain problem here is that he does not recognize he has this problem.
8. The love affair between John McCain and the news media is over. The time when McCain described the press as his base is finished. The journalists feel the bad McCain of 2008 is not the good McCain of 2000, and McCain's advisers feel the journalists are in the bag for Obama.
Presidential
Kentucky and Oregon: Clinton thrashed Obama in Kentucky, while Obama scored a smaller, but still strong, victory in Oregon. These results bring us no closer to concluding the race, and do nothing to shake to Obama from his perch as near-certain nominee.
1. In Kentucky, Clinton dominated by a 2-to-1 margin, ensuring she would win the day: gathering more delegates and more popular votes between the two states than Obama did. Winning the day by about 150,000 votes takes away ammunition from anyone who would call for her to step aside.
2. Clinton won nearly every corner of the state. Obama carried Louisville-with a university and a hefty black population-but only barely. Clinton won big among suburban voters and dominated among rural voters.
3. Even the one-third of primary voters who described themselves as "liberal" voted 62% for Clinton according to CNN's exit polls.
4. High turnout (43%) for a primary where the nomination is basically settled reflects strong anti-Obama passion-a fairly new phenomenon.
5. Obama's dismal performance among white voters across the South-together with the half of the state's primary voters who said they would not pull the lever for Obama in November-confirms that Obama cannot win Southern states in the fall, even those with high black populations.
6. In Oregon, Obama scored the big victory he had hoped for carrying the state 58% to 42%. It's a large margin of victory, but when compared to Clintons two recent 2-to-1 wins, it doesn't look that impressive.
7. Comparing Oregon to similar states shows an Obama drop-off since February, when he dominated the Idaho and Washington caucuses (though he always did worse in primaries than in caucuses). His huge rally-cum-rock concert in Portland over the weekend reflected the enthusiasm of his young support, but it failed to show broad support.
8. Winning Oregon and driving turnout reflects Obama's real strength in November. This state-competitive in 2000-is off the table in 2008, probably. He could have a similar impact in places like Wisconsin and Minnesota.
I believe many, many Democrats will turn against Obama.
Maybe Bob Novak will be the one to release the Michelle Obama video of here yelling Whity in the Rev Wright’s church.
Despite what most of the moonbats in the nutroots might think, Bob Novak is a registered DEMOCRAT!
btt
This is certainly a different take than the morning news version, which talked about how Obama won Oregon, all but assuring him the nomination. They didn’t say a word about Kentucky. It left the impression that Hillary was fading fast, and ready to quit at any minute. I hope she stays in, and in my opinion, Hillary is going to be less bad than Obama. McCain is the least bad of the three, but the Dems and the media will not let McCain win, if they can stop it. They may well derail the straight Talk Express.
The R-BASE is not with him! He just does not get it!
“I believe many, many Democrats will turn against Obama.”
Me too.
I think there are indeed racists democrats, gasp!
And I think that some are not insane enough to hand over security of this nation to one that would negotiate with Iran or other monsters.
Do we have confirmation that M. Obama did in fact deliver any sermon-type speech at Wright’s church? (I know we don’t know the substance if so)
Just looking to see if it’s been confirmed that she talked there at any time....
He's gotta be brain-dead if he doesn't get it. He only managed to get 72% or so of the Repub vote in Kentucky. He's supposed to be our 'Standard Bearer'.
Nam Vet
After all, not only will the next president automatically have war-time, Commander in Chief responsibilities, but this post (<-click), while addressing taxes, helps to explain why rookie government "leaders" like Obama are actually in contempt of the Constitution that they have sworn to defend, foolishly following in the footsteps of FDR's dirty federal spending politics.
In fact, the article referenced below shows that Obama is the #1 federal spending proposer in the Senate for '08; Clinton is #2.
Obama, a big-shot federal spenderAnd this post (<-click) exposes how corrupt justices then began using FDR's politically correct license to ignore the 10th A. to unlawfully stifle traditional family values, including the USSC's scandalous legalization of abortion in Roe v. Wade. Note that the post first references two non-abortion cases in order to show Roe v. Wade in a different, troubling perspective.
In fact, consider that the states have the constitutional power (10th A.) to authorize public schools to lead non-mandatory (14th A.) classroom discussions on the pros and cons of evolution, creationism and ID, as examples, regardless that atheists, separatists, pagan-minded judges and the MSM are misleading the people to think that doing such things in public schools is unconstitutional.
The people need to reconnect with the Founder's division of federal and state government powers. The people then need to wise up to the major problems that, since the days of FDR's dirty politics, Congress has not only not been operating within the restraints of the federal Constitution, particularly where constitutionally unauthorized federal spending is concerned, but the USSC has wrongly been ignoring the 10th A. protected power of the states to address religious issues.
The bottom line is that the people need to get in the faces of judges, demanding that judges uphold their oaths to defend the 10th A. protected powers of the states to address religious issues - or get off the bench. The people also need to send big-shot, Constitution-ignoring federal spenders like Obama home as opposed to trying to send people like him to the Oval Office. The people need to get in the faces of members of Congress, demanding a stop to constitutionally unauthorized federal spending while appropriately lowering federal taxes - or get out of DC.
Lincoln put it this way.
"We the People are the rightful master of both congress and the courts - not to overthrow the Constitution, but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution." --Abraham Lincoln, Political debates between Lincoln and Douglas, 1858.
Awesome video:
The same kind of terrorists who support Obama did this:
http://www.frugalsites.net/911/attack/
Never apologize for them.
Never appease them.
Never forget.
Awesome video:
The same kind of terrorists who support Obama did this:
http://www.frugalsites.net/911/attack/
Never apologize for them.
Never appease them.
Never forget.
Americans would rather have a third Bush term than a second Carter one, which is what you get with Obama.
Hopefully no Republican will ever again hire that vile scumbag Mark McKinnon to do their media. Since he loves Obama so much, let him work only the RAT side from now on.
A myth. They loved McCain because he was trying to defeat the frontrunning Bush heir. Had he been nominated they would have abandoned him for Gore.
I agree.
Obama is an ominous foreign threat and McCain is plain dumb about a lot of things, but I'm less worried about McCain than I am about Congress. It is beginning to look like we're going to get smoked, 1974-style. And with McCain's dull-witted notions of "nonpartisanship" or bipartisanship, it won't matter who we elect as president. Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid will be free to lead a vetoproof 'rat majority in raping and pillaging the Nation with abandon-- whether chered on by Obama or amicably tolerated by McCain.
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