Indiana is trending towards the DemocRATS, but not enough to vote for Obama, unless he puts Evan Bayh on the ticket.

If states like Indiana are truly in play for the Democrats, the Republicans are pretty much sunk.

I don’t buy into this poll at all, but it would be quite bad news. Bush had 60% of the vote here in 2004.

If Obama puts Evan Bayh on the ticket, it is all over. It is well known that many from the GOP vote for Bayh’s.

2006 was the wake up call for the GOP. Good GOP’ers went down because of the successful Democrat campaign arousing the globalization fear, and some of the policy of Mitch.

Don’t get me wrong, Mitch has done some good. But I keep hearing RINO Mitch.

I am not hearing much love for McCain.

Interesting. Thanks.

They’re saying that they polled likely voters with the following percentages:

Republicans — 36%
Democrats — 38%
Independents — 19%

Do Independents really make up 19% of the electorate?

That’s poll I definitely do not believe.

Believe it. Indiana has been becoming more Democrat. Many here were like Reagan Democrats. They are not happy lately.

You have a poll sponsored by a bunch of Kay-wackians and another poll paid for by somebody in Ohio, and it's about Indiana.

The cultural differences are so profound those people (in Kentucky and Ohio) don't even speak the same langauge.

For example they give airline announcements in Cincinatti's airport, which is actually in Kentucky, in German.

Frankly, I wouldn't trust this poll.

Let's examine Obama.

He ran one time against a real opponent and lost. His first election was unopposed. His house race he lost. His Senate seat he had sealed court documents unopened which sunk his opponent.

Obama could crack under the pressure. I would not be surprised to see it.

In Indiana where Republicans always win, is there really 36-39 in favor of the Dems.

Indiana is generally a Republican state. Doesn’t look good for McCain.

When Obambi goes down with Electoral Landslide for McCain, I wonder who would be more shocked - Media or Obama?

Odd, the poll shows more Dem that Repub in IN ? When did that happen ? O

“Believe it. Indiana has been becoming more Democrat.”

That’s true. But it’s largely due to the fact many Illinoisans moved to Indiana because Indiana is more affordable, but NW Indiana is still just a commute to Chicago. My office is in the Loop, and we have a good number of people who commute to work from NW Indiana, and they are all rabid Dhims.

This Hoosier doesn't believe that poll for a second. Bambi is not playing well in Southern Indiana at all.

Plus, we have voter ID laws in the Hoosier State. He won't be able to commit nearly enough fraud to win here.

This poll be crapola.

Here's why I don't trust political polls.

When a pollster polls a crack addict whore by chance, that person tends (to put it mildly) to vote Democratic. The likelihood of that voter making it to the polls on election day, and then to vote correctly, is fairly questionable. Pigeonhole any other type of poll respondent as in an irresponsible group - very young adulthood, chronically unemployed, career criminal, flamboyant exhibitionist, immoral, unbeliever, etc. - and the same result can be expected.

More responsible respondents tend to be Republican/Libertarian (I believe this can be empirically proven) and will tend to make it to the polls more reliably. Perhaps pollsters take these variables into account, but it's highly unlikely these various groups will be definitively identified.

Rasmussen, July 2, 2008:

“During the month of June, 41.0% of Americans considered themselves to be Democrats, 31.5% said they were Republicans and 27.5% were not affiliated with either major party.

This marks the fifth straight month that the number of Democrats has been between 41.0% and 41.7%. During that same period, the number of Republicans has also stabilized, ranging only from 31.4% to 32.1%.”

These figures resemble what RCP and Quinnipiac posted after the 2006 mid-terms. Between 25 and 28% claimed Independent status. (up 10% from earlier elections)

The younger voters slated to vote in this election, also are not pollable, have never registered, and are not yet considered to be a factor. But in reality, they are projected to make up about 7 to 9% of the Democrat vote and may prove to be a real landslide maker for Obama.

You are correct, this does not look at all good for McCain. It’s time to circle the wagons and start planning for 2010. The GOP dropped the ball on the other teams 5 yard line when we were force-fed McLame.

Did anyone notice that the poll was done over three days, two of which were over a weekend?

Polling on weekends skews the results toward the 'Rats, because they are more likely to be at home to answer their telephones. This merely adds to the pro-'Rat skewing caused by the facts that Republicans are less likely to cooperate with the annoyance of answering questions posed by left-oriented questioners, more so when those questions are written in a biased manner by MSM polling operations, which is usually the case.

Then there's the "Tom Bradley factor," poll respondents falsely telling questioners that they'd vote for the black candidate just to make everyone feel good.

When you take into account all these statistical biases, I'd estimate that McCain is actually up in Indiana by 7 points.