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U.S. admiral: Iran strike on Israel 'likely'
Ha'aretz ^ | July 04, 2008 | Amir Oren

Posted on 07/03/2008 5:39:01 PM PDT by forkinsocket

Iran is likely to launch ballistic missiles against Israel and the United States and the NATO alliance should prepare for it, was the warning issued earlier this week by Admiral James Winnefeld, commander of the Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean. In recent years, the missile boats of the Sixth Fleet practiced intercepting Shahab-3 missiles from Iran aimed at Israel, along with the Arrow batteries of the air force and U.S. and Israeli batteries of Patriot missiles.

In an article entitled "Maritime Strategy in an Age of Blood and Belief" in the U.S. Naval Institute's monthly Proceedings, Admiral Winnefeld describes the possibility of an offensive barrage of ballistic missiles fired from Iran against Israel as being "by far the most likely employment of ballistic missiles in the world today, and it demands our immediate attention in the event of a need for a U.S. or NATO response."

He says Iran is an "unpredictable adversary," which could be provoked into action "by an isolated, and perhaps seemingly unimportant, event."

Winnefeld's commander, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff at the Pentagon, Admiral Michael Mullen, mentioned earlier this week during his visit in Israel the presence of missile defense vessels of the Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean and their role in intercepting Iranian missiles.

(Excerpt) Read more at haaretz.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Israel; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: geopolitics; iran; israel; missiledefense; proliferation; strike
.
1 posted on 07/03/2008 5:39:01 PM PDT by forkinsocket
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To: forkinsocket

Israel can hardly wait for Iran to attack first.

They won’t.

Article has stink quality from here.


2 posted on 07/03/2008 5:42:49 PM PDT by Radix (Think it is bad now? Wait until you have to press "2" for English!)
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To: forkinsocket
And we will be lead into war by President Hussein.

Democrats are responsible for more wars than Republicans.

3 posted on 07/03/2008 5:43:53 PM PDT by villagerjoel (Unfortunately, Mr Worsley's crab will not be displayed in any museum. A friend has eaten it.)
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To: forkinsocket

The major difference between McCain and Obama is that McCain would shoot first in retaliation while Obama would not.

I think American Jews that vote Democrat simply want to disavow their heritage. Israel is an ally to the US but too many American Jews are all too willing to sell her out.


4 posted on 07/03/2008 5:44:06 PM PDT by misterrob (Obama-Does America Need Another Jimmy Carter?)
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To: villagerjoel

“And we will be lead into war by President Hussein.”

On Iran’s side?


5 posted on 07/03/2008 5:46:42 PM PDT by 353FMG (What marxism and fascism could not destroy, liberalism did.)
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To: forkinsocket

It was really thoughtful of the Iranians to wait until the US and Israel had more fully developed laser missile defense systems to contemplate an attack. The US is nearly ready to deploy the Airborne Laser System and follow on variants of the Tactical High Energy Laser system are quite nearly operational too. Dang nice of them Iranians, I would say.


6 posted on 07/03/2008 5:47:29 PM PDT by Reaganesque
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To: villagerjoel
Democrats are responsible for more wars than Republicans.

Bingo - in spades. WWI, WWII, Korea, Vietnam, count 'em up. Every one had a D@mocrat in the White House. Adding insult to injury was LBJ sneaking into office, claiming Goldwater was a warmonger. And who got us into Vietnam?

7 posted on 07/03/2008 5:57:16 PM PDT by Who is John Galt?
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To: 353FMG
“And we will be lead into war by President Hussein.”

On Iran’s side?


That gave me a chuckle. Then my laughter turned to fear as I realized how accurate this might be.
8 posted on 07/03/2008 5:59:28 PM PDT by Bobkk47
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To: Bobkk47
"Then my laughter turned to fear as I realized how accurate this might be."

Kinda scary ain't it?

9 posted on 07/03/2008 6:00:44 PM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (Seinfeld was a show about nothing - so is Obama.)
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To: Who is John Galt?
And who got us into Vietnam?

Actually, it was JFK.

Photobucket

10 posted on 07/03/2008 6:13:05 PM PDT by Cobra64 (www.BulletBras.net)
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To: forkinsocket

Importantly, despite the rhetoric, Israel might be one of the *last* targets of Iran, for an odd reason.

Throughout the Middle East, for decades it has been “common knowledge” that Israel *only* exists because it receives massive economic and military support from the US. Even among the educated, the assumption is that half, literally, of US defense dollars go to support the Israeli military.

This die hard, and utterly ridiculous belief, is used to justify anti-Americanism, because “If only America would stop supporting Israel, than Israel would cease to exist, almost overnight.”

But this lunacy is part and parcel to the Iranian strategy. They believe if they can just get the United States to leave the Middle East, Israel will not only cease to exist, but Iran will dominate the entire region.

Therefore, Iran’s complete focus of aggression is *not* directed at Israel, but at *American* targets in the Middle East.

To start with, by far their #1 targets are the US aircraft carriers in the area. They believe that if they can wipe out one or even two US aircraft carriers, the US military in the Middle East will have been neutralized.

They imagine that the US forces in Iraq, and the US and NATO forces in Afghanistan will have to leave if they do not have carrier support, by whatever means they can.

The secondary targets are then the US airbases in Iraq and Afghanistan, and possibly even the US naval base at Naples, Italy.

Next, the Iranians fully intend to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, knowing full well that shipping companies are easy to bully. This also happened during Gulf War I, and the US had to go to terribly expensive extremes to guarantee shipping. But with a concerted effort, the Iranian believe they could make this impossible.

This would go hand in hand with international diplomatic efforts to have the major oil dependent powers put enormous pressure on the US to not fight Iran. Their ally, Russia, especially, will go to great lengths in this way, as well as China, and possibly even Europe.

Pausing for a moment, of course this is an idiotic strategy, and the US has spent years planning to counter any number of Iranian tactics. But the Iranian leadership has a strong streak of self-deception.

Thanks to President W. Bush, well over 300 Pac-3 anti-missiles now exist in the region, along with other layered anti-missile defenses. This also includes the THAAD system, and Israel’s Arrow system.

Iran also has an interesting predicament. They certainly do not want to start a war while Bush remains POTUS. If H. Obama were to be elected, they would have struck gold, and their plans will go full steam, figuring him to be sympathetic to Islam at best, and utterly spineless at worst.

However, if McCain is elected, they well know that he would have absolutely no problem in responding to, or even initiating a major conflagration with Iran.

But the one thing curiously absent in all of this is Israel. For while they are certainly motivated to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, they might be “low man on the totem pole”, as far as what Iran thinks of as a target.

Unless Israel attacks first.

So brinkmanship all around.


11 posted on 07/03/2008 7:53:00 PM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: Cobra64; big'ol_freeper
Re: And who got us into Vietnam?

Actually, it was JFK.

Sorry, but as I recall... JFK did enlarge the military commitment there, but history says Truman pegged Ho Chi Minh as a Commie (He was a nationalists first, some in the OSS said...) just after WW2 ended and gave support to France moving back in to Indochina. Ike was the first to send in troops to police the DMZ during the so-called mid-1950s elections that never were in both North and South Vietnam as agreed. Afterwards, Eisenhower sent Ngô Đình Diệm combat advisers and increased military support.

12 posted on 07/03/2008 8:01:39 PM PDT by Bender2 ("I've got a twisted sense of humor, and everything amuses me." RAH Beyond this Horizon)
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To: Bender2
Afterwards, Eisenhower sent Ngô Đình Diệm combat advisers and increased military support.

As I recall Eisenhower, said he would never get involved in a land war in SouthEast Asia, hinting at a Nuclear response, he kept our involvement very minor, then came Kennedy.

13 posted on 07/03/2008 8:18:40 PM PDT by itsahoot (We will have world government. The only question is whether by conquest or consent.)
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To: villagerjoel

The question is whether or not those wars were justfied. Considering all of them were for freedom and those that were lost for injustice I would say that it’s not D or R it’s populace cowardisce that’s patheic.


14 posted on 07/03/2008 9:26:35 PM PDT by Almondjoy
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To: forkinsocket

Iran’s Ballistic Missiles

Perhaps most worrisome of the threats in the region is Iran’s increasing ability to quickly launch ballistic missiles in an attempt to overwhelm Israel’s organic defensive systems. This is, in my opinion, by far the most likely employment of ballistic missiles in the world today, and it demands our immediate attention in the event of a need for a U.S. or NATO response. This unpredictable adversary could be provoked by an isolated, and perhaps seemingly unimportant, event. Deploying land-based defensive assets is a necessary option, but it is costly and time-consuming. Meanwhile, sea-based missile defense has proved its capability, flexibility, and responsiveness in this arena. While U.S. Navy missile-defense capability need not be on-station all the time, it needs to be present in the theater conducting other missions, ready to respond quickly as needed. It would be wise for several of our very capable European partners to consider achieving this capability as well for their own defense against this threat.

Interdicting illegal or terrorist activity in this complex environment not only requires the presence of forces; it is utterly dependent on Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA)-a comprehensive understanding of the vessels, people, and cargo that occupy the maritime commons and the ability to detect what is going wrong.9 Substantial progress in this area is aligned around several key elements, including:

* Unclassified data and information sharing, which is widespread and growing
* Development of regional, cross-regional, and interagency partnerships
* Building MDA capability and capacity among our partners
* Agility and economy in development of linked software tools
* Fusion of data and information across security domains
* Forceful integration of intelligence and operations in the headquarters

Regarding the last item, wherever we integrate operations and intelligence we get an enormous payoff in improved effectiveness. We should acknowledge that locating theater maritime intelligence efforts away from the center of gravity of maritime operations does not work. Rather, these disciplines should be fully integrated at the maritime component commander’s headquarters, while at the same time we continue to strengthen our reach back to national centers in the continental United States.

While our capable and highly valued maritime partners are present in the Mediterranean on a daily basis, there is a broad disparity among them regarding the threshold for action before or during a crisis. However, farther south lies an area with great promise for coalition maritime action.

http://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/story.asp?STORY_ID=1523


15 posted on 07/03/2008 10:20:34 PM PDT by GATOR NAVY (Your parents will all receive phone calls instructing them to love you less now.)
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To: GATOR NAVY
I should elaborate that this the section on Iran from the Proceedings article "Maritime Strategy in an Age of Blood and Belief".
16 posted on 07/03/2008 10:23:23 PM PDT by GATOR NAVY (Your parents will all receive phone calls instructing them to love you less now.)
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To: Bender2
Ngô Đình Diệm

Gesundheit!

17 posted on 07/04/2008 3:03:09 AM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Preach the Gospel always, and when necessary use words". ~ St. Francis of Assisi)
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To: forkinsocket

Yup. And a country that doesn’t have nukes (The Maldives) is ready to launch an assault on a country that does have nukes (ummm lemmee guess, France).

Makes perfect sense.

Don’t get me wrong.
I am not saying Israel is not facing hostilities (because they are).
I am not saying the Arabs are not facing hostilities (because they are).

What I am saying is it makes no sense for an Arab country to attack Israel, and they know it.

If Israel were attacked, they WOULD use nukes.

And in a month or less, 250 million po’d Arabs would take a trip to Tel Aviv.

I’m just sayin it like it is.


18 posted on 07/04/2008 3:15:41 AM PDT by djf (I don't believe in perpetual motion. Perpetual mutton, that's another thing entirely!)
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To: djf

If he thinks hes hastening the coming of the last Imam it makes sense to him.


19 posted on 07/04/2008 3:23:41 AM PDT by DainBramage
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To: forkinsocket

That would be a very big mistake for them to make.


20 posted on 07/04/2008 7:54:38 AM PDT by Piquaboy (22 year veteran of the Army, Air Force and Navy, Pray for all our military .)
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To: Piquaboy

It wouldn’t be their first mistake.


21 posted on 07/06/2008 9:00:31 AM PDT by Munz (Infiltrate Interrogate Eradicate NEXT!)
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To: forkinsocket

Another day another opinion


22 posted on 07/06/2008 9:02:05 AM PDT by RightWhale (I will veto each and every beer)
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To: villagerjoel
Democrats are responsible for more wars than Republicans
... including Afghanistan & Iraq: the wars that Clinton didn't prevent and that Dubya had to fight.
23 posted on 07/06/2008 10:27:07 AM PDT by nicollo (you're freakin' out!)
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To: dennisw; Cachelot; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; Lent; GregB; ..
If you'd like to be on this middle east/political ping list, please FR mail me.

High Volume. Articles on Israel can also be found by clicking on the Topic or Keyword Israel. or WOT [War on Terror]

----------------------------

24 posted on 07/06/2008 3:58:54 PM PDT by SJackson (If we win Iowa, then we can move to the world as it should be, Michelle O)
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To: Bender2; All

In all fairness had we supported Ho Chi Minh at first and told France to get out of Vietnam, I don’t we would have been involved there and a lot of American lives would have been spared.. From what I understand was the Ho Chi Minh was a Commie in name only..


25 posted on 07/06/2008 6:44:21 PM PDT by KevinDavis (Barak Obama: The Candidate of Clarification)
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To: KevinDavis; Allegra; big'ol_freeper; Lil'freeper; TrueKnightGalahad; blackie; Larry Lucido; ...
Re: From what I understand was the Ho Chi Minh was a Commie in name only...

That canard was floated by some in the OSS, but a look at the early life of Ho, you will find he embraced Communism, through his friend Marcel Cachin, in 1919 France. From there on Ho was a dedicated Communist. While Ho did play his 'Nationalist Only' card with some OSS east coast elitists to get support, he was a full blown Communist in Nationalist clothing.

Otherwise, why didn't Ho adopt a democratic form of government in the North instead of the Communist type Peoples Republic that had a Stalinist style land reform in which hundreds of thousands of people accused of being landlords were summarily executed or tortured and starved in prison?

If you truly believe that Ho was just a peaceful homeboy that was forced by the evil United States to look to the also peace loving Communist Party for help and support, you have bought the liberal revisionist history that also claims Ernesto 'Che' Guevara was a saint, Hugo Chavez a great man standing up to the devil Yankees and nObama will in due course finally win the cold war for the guys in red hats.


26 posted on 07/07/2008 7:03:51 AM PDT by Bender2 ("I've got a twisted sense of humor, and everything amuses me." RAH Beyond this Horizon)
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To: Bender2; All

Ok, my mistake then.. Then he was a Nationalist in name only..


27 posted on 07/07/2008 7:07:32 AM PDT by KevinDavis (Barak Obama: The Candidate of Clarification)
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To: KevinDavis
Um, Ho Chi Minh was a founding member of the French Communist Pary. After helping to form the PCF, he sepent time in Moscow receiving further training and was tapped as the Comintern's man in Asia. Even though the Viet Minh did start as a broad-based anti-colonial organisation, Ho and Vo Nguyen Giap quickly rose to leadership positions and steered it to the uber left. Heck, after WWII, Ho turned-in many of the nationalist leaders of the Viet Minh to the French auhorities. He also, infiltrated the truly nationalist VNQDD (Việt Nam Quốc Dân Đảng) and his agents either killed or turned-in members of the VNQDD to the French authorities.
28 posted on 07/07/2008 8:05:27 AM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: Army Air Corps; All

I made a mistake.. See previous post..


29 posted on 07/07/2008 8:21:34 AM PDT by KevinDavis (Barak Obama: The Candidate of Clarification)
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To: KevinDavis

Ok. De nada.

Any new Mars ice info?


30 posted on 07/07/2008 8:42:29 AM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: Army Air Corps; All

Nothing new yet.. Once there is news it would be posted..


31 posted on 07/07/2008 9:11:20 AM PDT by KevinDavis (Barak Obama: The Candidate of Clarification)
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To: Bender2

Absolutely. The Communists always peg their side as reasonable and our side as reactionary. The logic that they (and their enablers) use always comes down to this point: if we had surrendered faster, things would have been better.


32 posted on 07/07/2008 11:48:17 AM PDT by tanuki (u)
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